OSD / Studio / Live Game State

Live Game State — in-play context filters

How Live Game State works

The live-game-state gate blocks live bets when the game is in a state where pricing is structurally noisy or unreliable. Default knob: minimum elapsed seconds since tipoff/first-pitch.

The threshold

liveGameState.minElapsedSec — seconds since the game started before live bets are allowed. Defends against early-game pricing chaos when scoring rates haven't settled and books haven't yet calibrated their in-play models.
Currently set to 300 seconds (5 min) in user config — basketball pricing typically stabilizes after the first few possessions; baseball usually after the first inning ends.

Why it matters

Books often have wider spreads or stale pre-game lines for the first few minutes of live play. Sharp money has the same problem (less consensus signal) so EV calculations are unreliable in this window. Better to skip than chase early-live edges.

What this Studio page does

Replays settled positions filtered by elapsed-seconds buckets. Shows ROI by elapsed-time bucket so you can find the inflection where live pricing becomes reliable. Tighter thresholds (e.g. 600s = 10 min) cut volume; looser (e.g. 60s) admit junk early-game pricing.

Canonical contract: docs/gates.md#live-game-state.

Data

Remote API Base URL

Remote User ID

Remote API Key

Load remote positions to begin.

Controls

Run Settings

Run Mode

Objective Metric This is the score the optimizer maximizes when ranking candidates.

Minimum Bets for Recommendation Requires at least this many bets for a recommendation to be eligible.

Sweep Setup

Single sweep tests one knob across a range.

Parameter

Explicit Values (comma list, optional)

From

Step

Minimum Sharps Required 0 disables sharp-count gating.

Max Combo Evaluations Run-engine safety cap for Grid and Sharp sweeps (not a segment filter).

Guardrails

Min Distinct Days Requires recommendations to span at least this many settled days. Set 0 to disable.

Max Worst-Day Degradation ($) Rejects recommendations when worst-day profit drops by more than this amount. Set 0 to disable.

Min Green Day Rate (0-1) Requires this minimum share of profitable days for recommendations. Set 0 to disable.

Segment Filters

Sub-selection filters below are applied after Run Mode + Objective Metric.

Flow

Mode

League

Book

Market Family

Data Quality & Output

Optional Config Overrides JSON (applied last)

Missing Data Policy

Rows to Show

Load remote positions to start.

Summary

Rows Loaded

Settled Matched

Baseline (ROI)

Best Delta

Baseline snapshot: ROI -, Profit -, Win Rate -, Bets -

Live-State Field Coverage

Missing Live-State Fields

Excluded on Missing (fail)

This is historical replay on bets you already took. It cannot estimate bets that were never placed.

Parameter results are ranked here first. In Auto mode, charts below use the top-ranked parameter row.

Param	Baseline	Best	Bets	Baseline Score	Best Score	Delta

Run a single-parameter sweep or Auto mode to populate these charts.

Shaded band = top-performing value zone (top 20% by selected objective metric).

Gold dot = best score in this sweep.

Line + dots = metric result for each tested value.

X-axis = tested parameter value.

ROI Curve

Run a single-parameter sweep (or Auto mode) to render ROI curve.

Profit Curve

Run a single-parameter sweep (or Auto mode) to render profit curve.

Win Rate Curve

Run a single-parameter sweep (or Auto mode) to render win-rate curve.

Bet Count Curve

Run a single-parameter sweep (or Auto mode) to render bet-count curve.

Distribution

Rows are tested parameter values. Each row shows aggregate results for that value.

Parameter Value	Bets	Pass Rate	Distinct Days	Green Day %	Worst Day	Win Rate	ROI	Profit	Stake	Avg EV